In a world of shifting alliances, a game-theory model known as the “Truel” helps explain how weaker states band together when the strongest power loses credibility-and why that could spell danger for the United States

Why is Trump angry with India? What’s more to come?

As leaders of the group gather for a summit, the absence of China’s Xi and Russia’s Putin shifts the spotlight to India’s Modi and Brazil’s Lula

The US must treat Iran’s nuclear programme separately from its regional activities and Iran must pair its calls for sovereignty with genuine transparency and restraint

India has to be wary of US interests drowning its own. The US has always been a predatory power which embeds itself in regional conflicts to gain from them

China is sending critical geoeconomic signals that it will resist US bullying and economic hegemonism

Trump’s USAID budget cuts could reshape global aid, threatening Ethiopia’s stability and opening doors for Chinese and Russian influence

The Oval Office meltdown indicates a hardening of stance by the Trump team, which has outed Zelenskyy and given short shrift to the Europeans

Deepening transatlantic discord could leave space for authoritarian powers to reshape international norms in their favour

Instability shakes geopolitics. Ukraine war, eroding alliances, distorted narratives fuel volatility. Populism, revisionism, interests clash. CSIS predicts Transatlantic rift, Europe’s decline, despite resilience